Canadian Football League Week # 5 Best Bets !

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Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
07/24/10 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
07/23/10 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
07/22/10 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
07/17/10 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
07/16/10 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
07/14/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
07/11/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
07/10/10 4-0-0 100.00% +2000 Detail
07/09/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
07/04/10 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
07/02/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
07/01/10 4-0-0 100.00% +2000 Detail
Totals 19-13-0 59.38% +2350

Thursday, July 29Game Score Status Pick Amount

Toronto - 7:30 PM ET Toronto +10 500 *****
Montreal - Under 53 500 *****
 

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Toronto at Montreal

The Alouettes look to take advantage of a Toronto team that is 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings between the two teams. Montreal is the pick (-10) according to Dunkel, which has the Alouettes favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-10). Here are all of today's CFL picks.

THURSDAY, JULY 29

Game 411-412: Toronto at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 106.697; Montreal 121.658
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 15; 50
Vegas Line: Montreal by 10; 53
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-10); Under
 

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Thursday, July 29


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TORONTO (3 - 1) at MONTREAL (3 - 1) - 7/29/2010, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 6-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 6-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Week 5


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Trend Report
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Thursday, July 29

7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. MONTREAL
Toronto is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
Toronto is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Montreal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Montreal is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
 

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Week 5 CFL games

Toronto (3-1) @ Montreal (3-1)
-- Both sides won last three games, with Argos underdog in all three wins, winning by 2-3-4 points- they've run ball for 160.7 ypg in last three games, protecting defense that gave up an average of 506.5 ypg in two road games. Als are +6 in turnovers (plus in all four games); they outscored last three foes 59-18 in second half. Als have only three giveaways, Toronto has ten already (+2).
 

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Week 5

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Canadian Bacon: CFL Week 5 Analysis and predictions
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Thursday

Toronto Argonauts at Montreal Alouettes (-10, 53)


Who would have thought that early bragging rights in the East Division would be at stake in this matchup?

“If you had asked me to bet on that I probably would have lost a lot of money” admitted DE Anwar Stewart from the Montreal Alouettes with a chuckle.

The Alouettes won their last seven games against the Argos, and the last six were decided by 20 points or more. But with Toronto on a three-game winning streak, the Als know they can’t take this one lightly. Toronto’s Cory Boyd is the hottest running back in the CFL right now and at 6-foot-1 and 215 pounds, he won’t go down easy.

“He is big, he is quick and he is smart,” said Safety Etienne Boulay. “But we will be ready for him”.

The bad news for Argos fans is that the Montreal defence is back to playing its A-game. If the Als manage to slow down Boyd, they will win. It’s that simple.

The Alouettes will be seeking their 11th consecutive regular season win at home. The last time they lost at Percival Molson Stadium was against Winnipeg on October 29, 2008. The last time Toronto beat Montreal was almost a year earlier, in October 2007.

Pick: Montreal
 

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Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
07/29/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
07/24/10 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
07/23/10 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
07/22/10 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
07/17/10 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
07/16/10 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
07/14/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
07/11/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
07/10/10 4-0-0 100.00% +2000 Detail
07/09/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
07/04/10 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
07/02/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
07/01/10 4-0-0 100.00% +2000 Detail
Totals 20-14-0 58.82% +2300

Friday, July 30Game Score Status Pick Amount

BC Lions - 9:00 PM ET Edmonton -1 500
Edmonton - Under 53 500*****
 

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FRIDAY, JULY 30

Game 413-414: BC at Edmonton (9:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: BC 110.637; Edmonton 109.197
Dunkel Line: BC by 1 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 1; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (+1); Over
 

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Friday, July 30


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BRITISH COLUMBIA (1 - 3) at EDMONTON (0 - 4) - 7/30/2010, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Week 5


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Trend Report
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Friday, July 30

9:00 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
British Columbia is 8-14-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against British Columbia
 

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Week 5 CFL games


BC Lions (1-3) @ Edmonton (0-4)-- Lions were +3 in turnovers, sacked Ray five times in 25-10 win in season opener here (-4), but Lions are 0-3 since, losing last two games by four points each. Eskimos turned the ball over 10 times in four games (-6), are 0-2 at home, losing by 15-10 pts- they're aloing 160.8 rushing yards/game. Underdog is 4-0 vs spread this season in BC games.
 

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Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
07/30/10 1-0-1 100.00% +500 Detail
07/29/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
07/24/10 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
07/23/10 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
07/22/10 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
07/17/10 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
07/16/10 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
07/14/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
07/11/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
07/10/10 4-0-0 100.00% +2000 Detail
07/09/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
07/04/10 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
07/02/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
07/01/10 4-0-0 100.00% +2000 Detail
Totals 21-14-1 60.00% +2800

Saturday, July 31Game Score Status Pick Amount

Hamilton - 6:30 PM ET Hamilton +7.5 500 *****
Saskatchewan - Over 54.5 500 *****

Winnipeg - 9:30 PM ET Winnipeg +7 500 *****
Calgary - Over 57 500 *****
 

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Hamilton at Saskatchewan

The Tiger-Cats look to bounce back from their loss at Montreal last week and build on their 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 games following a SU loss. Hamilton is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Roughriders favored by only 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+7 1/2).
 

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Saturday, July 31


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Trend Report
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6:30 PM
HAMILTON vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 7 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 8 games when playing Hamilton

9:30 PM
WINNIPEG vs. CALGARY
Winnipeg is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Calgary is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games


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Canadian Bacon: CFL Week 5 Analysis and predictions
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Hamilton Tiger Cats at Saskatchewan Roughriders (-7.5, 54.5)

The Roughriders will want to rebound from their 40-20 loss to Calgary after winning their first three games of the 2010 season. Riders coach Ken Miller still can’t gut watching that game.

“I can’t look at it clinically yet” he told reporters Tuesday.

Uncharacteristically, the Riders have the worst defence in the CFL. The question now is: how will they stop the third-best passing team in the league?

The Riders are third in the league in scoring with an average of 33.8 point per game. They also surrendered a league-high 32.2 points per game, so this game should be a gun fight.

Quarterback Darian Durant got rocked way too much by the Stampeders’ pass rushers last week, although, he was only officially sacked twice. His offensive line must do a better job of giving him time in the pocket.

It will be an interesting matchup, but the Riders should prevail.

Pick: Saskatchewan


Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Calgary Stampeders (-7, 57)


The Stampeders finally looked like a championship team again against the Eskimos last week. And it was without star receiver Ken-Yon Rambo, who claims he will be back in action against the Blue Bombers.

Winnipeg will also welcome a star player back. Safety Ian Logan seems to have recovered from a neck injury suffered during a pre-camp workout. Logan has been an anchor for the Bombers over the past few years.

But the Bombers will once again have to rely on quarterback Steven Jyles with Buck Pierce still injured. Jyles did well against Edmonton in Week 4, with 267 yards passing, 63 yards rushing and three touchdowns - two on run plays and another one through the air. But he also gave up two interceptions.

That’s not bad, but is it good enough to match Henry Burris and the Stampeders offence? Blue Bombers defensive back LaVar Glover summarized it best, “If you let Henry Burris get hot, he’s going to rip you apart”.

That’s exactly what will happen Saturday.

Pick: Calgary
 

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Week 5 CFL games


Hamilton (1-3) @ Saskatchewan (3-1)-- TiCats allowed 49-37 points in losing two road games by 20-23 points; only one of their four games was decided by less than 20 points. Last three Hamilton games stayed under total. Roughriders lost first game last week; three of four Rider games went over. Saskatchewan gained at least 440 yards in every game so far this year. TiCats are 2-0 at home, beating Als by 3 in OT, Eskimos by 4.

Winnipeg (2-2) @ Calgary (3-1)-- Bombers scored 49-47 points in their two wins, 34-7 in losses; they were shut out in first half of only game on road (28-7 loss at Hamilton). Stampeders are 2-0 at home, winning 30-16 vs Argos (-13), 40-20 vs Roughriders (-1.5) last week. Over is 3-1 so far this year in Winnipeg games. Stamps have thrown eight INTs already in four games, but they ran ball for 247 yards last week in win over Riders.
 

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Saturday, July 31


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HAMILTON (1 - 3) at SASKATCHEWAN (3 - 1) - 7/31/2010, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 140-106 ATS (+23.4 Units) in all games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 140-106 ATS (+23.4 Units) in all lined games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 127-96 ATS (+21.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 40-20 ATS (+18.0 Units) in July games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WINNIPEG (2 - 2) at CALGARY (3 - 1) - 7/31/2010, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-1 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 2-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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SATURDAY, JULY 31

Game 415-416: Hamilton at Saskatchewan (6:30 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 109.347; Saskatchewan 114.629
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 5 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 7 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+7 1/2); Over

Game 417-418: Winnipeg at Calgary (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 106.134; Calgary 114.597
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 8 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Calgary by 7; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-7); Under
 

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